Someone asked me, last week, in the middle of a political discussion, what I thought would happen next. I had absolutely no idea.

I am continually surprised by how politician’s judgement of the mood of the electorate is frequently so wrong.

There seems to be a general assumption that if a election were called now, Labour would win. I voted Labour in the last election, largely because Jeremy Corbyn had been so badly treated by his party. (I know there is no logical connection between our mid Sussex constituency where we rejoice in having Nicholas Soames, friend of Prince Charles, for our MP, and Jeremy Corbyn, but voting isn’t a logical matter.). But if he with his red associates stood a fair chance of winning, would I vote the same? I doubt it.

I thought the Labour Party had behaved abominably but the Tory party’s disloyalty and poor treatment of Teresa May surpasses even Labour’s poor conduct. I’m not a Tory, and I’m not an admirer of Mrs May (she wears leopard skin shoes!). But she is in an impossible position. The people who should be supporting her are speaking out in public against her. Mrs May is perhaps not brilliant, but she has sticking power. She gets up every morning and she puts her best effort into her impossible task, day after day. She keeps her courage flying even though every man’s hand is against her. She doesn’t lose her temper. As a representative of Britain she is dignified and calm. She does not personally antagonise one the way Mrs Thatcher did. For these virtues one could even overlook the leopard skin shoes!

I think the mood of the British people is confused, alarmed and resentful. We were precipitated into a referendum by Cameron (in an effort to subdue a rabid element of his own party) with insufficient information. I was horrified to see, when the vote was cast, that the Leave side did not expect to win, and had no plan. After 18 months we are none the wiser about what the actual outcome will be in any given scenario. It has been an absolute mess from beginning to end and it’s not improving in any way. Most people do not understand the implications fully (I certainly do not) and I’m beginning to suspect that nobody actually understands the whole picture.

Not only do I not know what will happen next; I don’t know what SHOULD happen next. I would doubt that an agreement will be reached; the Tory party (or elements within it) and the DUP will see to that. They both appear to be obsessed with issues that are more important to them than EU membership. It seems to be the case that we shouldn’t have held the Referendum; but we did. I don’t see that we can keep holding referendums until we get the ‘right’ answer.

If the issue is put to the ‘people’s vote’ (was it not people who voted in the first place?) again I don’t know what the outcome would be. There is a case for the electorate being alarmed into voting for the status quo and staying put. But I wouldn’t count on it. We’re so disgusted with the whole business – the remainers, the leavers, and the European politicians – that we might just wash our hands of the whole affair and decide to put distance between them and ourselves. It’s a brave – or foolhardy – politician who would gamble on getting the ‘right’ outcome.

Mrs May is as good a person as any to be in charge. Can you think of anyone who would do better?

The only thing I’m sure of is that the whole thing is an absolute mess.


About adhocannie
I am a good natured woman with a long memory and a swift tongue. I like loooking at things and thinking about them. Also food, clothes, travel, reading, sewing. I try to see the ridiculous in things, but sobriety of reflection keeps edgting in. I have husband, children, grandchildren, friends... I feel rich in things that matter. I am a happy exile. I like writing. I do not like talking about me (though I do.). You willl be much more interesting.

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